Balanced opinion for a reasonable US foreign policy in English and French as well.

Thursday, April 24, 2008

Will we go bankrupt before we attack Iran?

Author: Steven Rix

Holy molly, gung-ho Hillary Clinton declared her allegiance to Israel if Iran was not complying with the messianic vision of a perfect world in the Middle-East, and if ever she is elected the new iron-lady may mark her words against Iran. In the meantime while all these idiotic politicians are yanking each other and behaving like high-school bullies, it is once again the Americans that are paying the price of this irresistible political circus. We went to war in Iraq to seize the oil of Saddam Hussein (we’ve got to be honest towards Americans) but Iraq never recovered from the war, and it will take a long time before Iraqi refineries can reach full capacities. As a result, worldwide oil prices skyrocketed, reaching a hundred dollars a barrel, and worldwide capacities can’t even sustain anymore the ascension of developing countries such as China or India. Americans will have to drive less and to pay more for the black gold. But it’s not over, as if a little oil shock was not enough, the government decided a new energy policy and now we can drive our car with 10% ethanol and 90% gasoline. As a result, since we are trying to cut down on oil energy to minimize the oil crash, we opened the door to a brand new crisis, never seen before in the US until the 30s and WWII, it’s a crisis in food supply. At 1st sight, it would seem that this problem cannot be taken care of like that immediately, because production’s tools reached full productivity, so we can’t produce more than we are already producing.And it’s not just a little temporary crisis, I’ve been watching food prices the last 12 months, and we’ve been entering a hyperinflation mode. I always thought food shortage would only happen in the 3rd world countries or the Soviet Union before the 90s; unfortunately it is happening in front of our very own eyes and it is happening in the “country of freedom”. Here is an example: yesterday I was doing my shopping at Wal-mart, and I could not find oil, pasta, rice, on the shelves. It’s all gone. Needless to say that if ever you find the right product you want, my food budget has been doubling the last 12 months. Has anyone lately seen the cheer amount of inflation we are facing in this country? The dozen of eggs costs around $3 this year while I used to pay around 99 cents previously the same year. It’s 300% inflation over the last 12 months. Worse, the price of the gallon is not cheap either. I remember paying around 75 cents a gallon right after September 11th and now they are telling us on TV to get over it because it’s going to reach anytime soon $4 per gallon. So what’s going on in this country, and who is going to take care of the problem instead of fueling our head with political garbage that nobody cares? In the meantime it’s not really alarming, no need to blow the whistle, but if the situation keeps happening over the few next months, with an oil barrel price going up, then we are headed full throttle towards bankruptcies for the middle and lower class.Philosophical contemplation: the global population rose tremendously since the XXth century and they were expected to raise steadily according to the UN studies. Unfortunately I think that global predictions got it all wrong for numerous factors. Number one, the population has been growing because there is oil. If you remove the oil, the population will decline, and it will decline because of the food supply. Without oil, there is no more plastic objects, there is no more driving, then there is no more work, then there is no more consumption, then there is no more food production, then there is pure and simple anarchy. You see everything that we discovered technologically since the last 10,000 years has been interconnected directly and it does shape our daily environment. Oil production is at the source of everything in our daily live, even the pesticides are produced with oil, or part of the electricity, and even our juicy steaks with buttered corn that we eat in our plates need the big gas guzzlers Ford tractors to process it first. If ever there is an oil shortage with a food crisis in this country, and hopefully it won’t happen, we are going to be entering the survival mode. The survival mode is to go where the food is located, and it’s usually at the countryside in a farm. People in the cities will be the 1st ones struck by starvation, whereas people at the countryside will manage to grow whatever they need, if ever they are not attacked by other people that are starving to death of course. So we’ve been warned and we need to be prepared because once we’ll be restarting the world from scratch, we’ll have to work with 2 horses and a plow, and this day might come sooner than expected.

2 comments:

Anonymous said...

Did you see the latest from the food crisis in Haiti?
Unbelievable!
http://www.theonion.com/content/video/breaking_news_something_happening

StevenRix said...

LOL awesome

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